Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 333.939294 380.619009 433.263719 497.387488 573.859263 662.729049 774.688828
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 271.285408 332.885279 409.239991 512.299045 650.046851 831.168864 1093.125535
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 233.555262 300.206028 387.969741 514.760881 698.032444 961.264861 1383.523919
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 203.232315 270.449032 363.097165 504.179778 721.210201 1056.334291 1643.453958
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 183.583869 251.680689 349.333017 505.115127 758.621738 1177.247783 1975.338897
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 164.824034 231.435121 330.074141 493.582430 772.544375 1260.598199 2263.520926
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 151.514794 217.489769 318.142154 491.123339 799.921097 1371.589011 2638.518070
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 135.675087 197.956675 295.106622 466.676786 783.756258 1397.199018 2841.420702
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 131.226271 195.652863 299.168684 488.830056 856.406847 1612.746786 3555.133881
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 128.489188 195.701461 306.915027 518.370147 948.650794 1893.160247 4559.027270
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 121.354197 187.773432 300.106584 519.739162 983.656329 2054.847920 5318.022556
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 112.673386 176.485907 286.265273 505.669129 983.077074 2131.497114 5858.982422
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 104.647172 165.909451 273.101850 492.102402 983.198281 2215.390549 6491.416201
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 101.280248 163.207911 274.075831 507.499933 1053.218738 2506.310496 8064.145155
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 96.569849 157.695764 269.201117 509.883101 1092.605209 2725.258478 9532.376645
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 90.787139 149.790174 259.011736 499.430643 1097.969685 2845.556073 10675.718918
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 86.817311 144.912864 254.249623 500.354711 1133.033669 3071.667413 12545.346792
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 81.874131 137.870131 244.591684 488.957650 1132.986032 3182.838329 13930.128245
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 78.255723 133.085138 239.076484 486.527373 1157.526378 3389.683788 16120.339253
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 72.799148 124.452221 225.055541 462.365290 1115.768453 3342.159347 16648.596235
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 72.073101 124.903525 229.849247 484.260930 1213.950140 3867.752707 21957.805981
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 71.936426 126.485417 237.149843 513.452913 1342.201115 4585.384680 30420.961455
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 69.454109 123.220092 233.732266 514.805673 1382.190483 4942.090317 36479.948228